Friday, February 15, 2013

The Speculation Game: Tal Rasha's Sacrifice

In case you missed it, the week leading up to the deployment of 1.0.7 featured a strange website bug that removed the set bonuses for quite a number of set items. It fueled speculation that some set item bonuses were in for a re-work, including (but not limited to) the 2/3/4 bonus for Tal Rasha's Sacrifice, as well as the ever popular 7% crit chance 2-piece bonus for Natalya's set. While there did seem to be some grounds for the speculation--some of the bonuses are a little overpowered, others laughably weak--in the end it proved to be nothing more than a glitch. So, end of story, right?

Maybe.

Personally, I was looking forward to the bonuses changing. I play a wizard that employs the 2-piece Tal set and getting something, anything, other than a befuddling 3% bonus to a damage type that I don't use would be welcomed. And, call me crazy, but something tells me we'll see a change to it in a not-too-distant patch. My reasoning isn't exactly airtight, but there's been clamoring for some time now from the community that the Tal bonuses need reworking, and it's not exactly the most intrusive change to implement. Set bonuses aren't randomly generated--you'd be messing with everyone's gear in perfectly equal measure--and who's to complain about a random buff that makes your gear more valuable? Yes, I realize that people put money into alternative pieces partly because the lack of an appealing set bonus, but most Tal gear is at least close to BiS anyway, and it's not as if crit chance Mempos or high int/vit Zuni Marrows are going to lose all that much value if Tal pieces get a modest little buff. That leads me to my fun piece of speculation for the week:

Blizzard has shown a tendency thus far in D3 listen to ideas that the community rallies around and make common-sense changes to balance the game. If a logical, much needed buff to Tal set bonuses is incoming, the next month or two could be a great time to pick up a few top-end pieces as an investment. Personally, I've invested in a few high-end Guise of Wisdoms, and let me explain why:

  • They're currently pretty cheap thanks to how insanely powerful Mempos are as a clear BiS option.
  • They can actually potentially offer more than a Mempo does sans the attack speed, which is so important that it drives Mempo prices to be about 10x the price of a comparable Guise.
  • One solid 2-piece and/or 3-piece set bonus, and all of a sudden they're competitive with Mempos for BiS.
  • If one of those set bonuses happens to be, say, 9% IAS, all of a sudden they're standalone BiS for Wizards and Witch Doctors.
  • Consequently they're the one item currently available for purchase that has the (admittedly small) chance to appreciate in value 10x or more.
It's far from a slam dunk, of course, but if you've got some spare gold sitting around, why not invest a little of it with the possibility of hitting on a 5x-20x return on your investment? If you've got a little patience, it might just pay off big.

2 comments:

  1. Just stopping in from D3RMT forums to apologize for my posting there. I'm hoping you'll come back. There are a few follow up questions and comments. If you take a look around, you'll find a great community and we'd love to have you come in from time to time. Anyone programming in MATLAB to reverse engineer a video game (I prefer R) is someone worth having around. -ecocd

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  2. Hey ecocd, no need whatsoever to apologize. I enjoy a lively debate and some dissension among other good D3 players and theorycrafters. I'll see you around the forums!

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